[MAFIA] SPY VS. MAFIA II DAY 3

Posts

CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
author=demonlord5000
Yeah I might as well. I'll be going to bed soon and I need to have a vote down. He was acting pretty suspiciously before that claim. One thing that's bothering me is that roles/items don't seem to be the same considering that tuba that spawned in. In which case why did ozzy claim to have a paper bag from the start?

#lynch ozzy
author=demonlord5000
I wouldn't normally do this but I'm going to sleep soon and I probably won't be back before the day ends. He's suspicious enough to warrant a vote at least.


scum. someone else make the case for me. nap time.
cancel
I don't feel strongly about PA and as I'll be around I don't want this to be the default train, fair

@jero it's 10% of a false reading, as in he's actually nontown. That it did something doesn't indicate success.

@cave the rule forbids copypasting from masonchats into mainthread after a similar setup got blown up because lockez is the only person in a decade of irc logs to ever spell it "each-other"
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
lol

#lynch alaskanemily

until someone makes the pro demonlord case that I plan to take credit for, this is the best option.
@Jeroen: Do you disagree with Psy's analysis that we should try to force a hammer before the end of the day? This is a bandwagon close to the end of the day (especially since not everyone really has that much IRL awake-time left in D1), do you not think that's a little different?

@Demon: I don't think there can be nolynch, even in a tie it becomes a coin flip.

I'll try to reread and rethink things knowing Fomar is town thanks to the battle tuba. I might or might not be able to really devote much more time to this before D1 ends though.

I am OK with a demon lynch too, I guess. I guess I'm also in disagreement with most people about whether Ozzy is scummy, but I'm not feeling anywhere near as confident in Demon as I was last game.

author=psy_wombats
Don't have much to add other than that AE and PA look bad. Whoever was asking why AE was on my original hitlist was I usually can follow her reasoning but couldn't for the first part of the day. Still on it for trying to start a train away from Ozzy.


That's fair. Thinking about things now, my logic about hammering was pretty garbage :S

author=CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
While she makes big posts, they're full of extremely hedgy fence-straddling (bad), less full of talking about mechanics (something scum tend to focus on cause they can 'play' without playing,) and she also threw shade on me for something I wasn't even trying to do (illegal and bannable offense.) The vote she does thrown down is on lurker/nonentity PA (even though she saw him doing this as town last game) but, to make it worse, he had actually started to play by the time she voted him for this reason.


Also if I seem like I'm not posting any strong reads it's because I don't have any strong reads either. If I don't see something I can't say something. If you want to lynch me for being bad at getting reads, I guess I agree with that. This is what I got.

You are right, PA started actually playing just before I voted. He did like four real posts before I voted, one of which ninja'ed me.
pianotm
The TM is for Totally Magical.
32388
10 hours 20 minutes until end of day.

Psy-wombats has used the Euphonium, canceling all existing votes and revealing fomar0153 as town.

Current vote count:
Demonlord5000(0): Cap_H
PlatinumAshes(2): Cap_H, psy_wombats, demonlord5000
OzzyTheOne(0): demonlord5000
AlaskanEmily(1): CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to hammer.

Jeroen_Sol
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.
3885
Also @Psy, why did you hop on the PA train?
Jeroen_Sol
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.
3885
No, I think we should hammer. I just don't think we should hammer someone I have a townread on.
Because of short time remaining and PA seemed very cautious in a series of posts from a while back where he scumread Ozzy then voted differently.
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
link i'm lazy
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
ok i read back.

That said, I can't jump on the Demon wagon with confidence. The guy is a gaf machine on day one and he always flips town in the end. And I don't really see the use of him dropping that there is three scum in here. If he's scum then he seriously messed up to post that.


Everyone else is neutral. My top lynch picks are Demonlord and Ozzy, but I would be pretty okay with most other targets.


this seems like a pretty big flip made in the span of 30 minutes. the ozzy stuff looks less bad to me but still not great. I'd be OK with PA dying. also worth noting that when he was town he never actually dropped the joke persona at all.
https://rpgmaker.net/forums/topics/24744/?post=889507#post889507
Yeah it's not as bad looking as I remember but I'm also sort of assuming Ozzy's actual role is scum rather than bagholder.
Jeroen_Sol
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.
3885
Cave, those posts you quoted come right after this one:

author=PlatinumAshes
Let me summarize this whole Demonlord thing. I don't have a great feeling about him, but I'm genuinely confused about what he thiks he's doing.


So first, Demonlord apparently misread Cap H. He thought Cap said there were three scum.

He was tired too tired, so came back and then misread the OP as well, which he thought confirmed there were three scum.

Then he realized he made an error and he says:

author=demonlord5000
Misreading is pretty standard for me I'd say. Cap, you were the first to assume there were three after I inquired about it. I'll admit I made a mistake at not reading more carefully though.


I honestly have no clue what he's talking about here. I even went through Cap's posts and I can't find where he assumed there were three. Also Jeroen (the other one), is kind of right in pointing out the defensive tone.


So I think saying PA did a big flip on demon is a false narrative. He did flip on Ozzy, but that to me read as authentic.

Psy is right it looks worse if Ozzy's scum, but I'm not voting PA today.
PlatinumAshes
I am now certain that you are not scum and are just town trying to play scum as hard as possible.
0
I'm back, but I don't have much time.

Like I said yesterday, neither of my reads had much confidence behind them. Initially, I was more suspicious of both Demonlord and Ozzy, but I talked myself out of both.

Demonlord was weird as hell but it fits his MO. But when I tried to picture him being scum, it's hard to imagine he would mess up so badly. It's still possible and I'm not against lynching him.

With Ozzy, I just had a gut feeling that his personality was different, but I then realized that was probably because of him playing on his own now.

I did say "My top picks are Demonlord and Ozzy" in the end. But I didn't mean "these two are top quality lynch targets". I just didn't have a case against anyone else.

My confidence in the case on these two was so low, that I didn't even vote for either in the end. I just went for the most inconspicuous player, which was Fomar.
Jeroen_Sol
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.
3885
I'm going to move Psy into my hard town. It would be extremely ballsy and/or stupid to use that tuba as scum. Scum would just sit on it and not even mention its existence.
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
doesn't change the context. He posts a neutral real on demonlord, then goes neutral-town in the first post I quoted, and then says he's one of his top picks. And then doesn't mention him after that. still feels like a weird flip to me.

I'd still vote emily first though.

Also if I seem like I'm not posting any strong reads it's because I don't have any strong reads either. If I don't see something I can't say something. If you want to lynch me for being bad at getting reads, I guess I agree with that. This is what I got.


this reply doesn't really address what I said. maybe I need a translator.
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
actually no fuck this

#cancel

#lynch demonlord
I kind of have a feeling that Ozzy is a double agent. It feels more like a double agent play to reveal so early.

author=Jeroen_Sol
I'm going to move Psy into my hard town. It would be extremely ballsy and/or stupid to use that tuba as scum. Scum would just sit on it and not even mention its existence.


Yeah, I agree. Even if they were willing to chance a single battle tuba, since it goes to another player (or at least we were told it does...no, it probably does) it would be a really dumb scum move to use it.
author=CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
this reply doesn't really address what I said. maybe I need a translator.


OK, then I'll ask: what was it I accused you of that was illegal/ban-worthy?
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
emily, it's illegal to insinuate that I am being dishonest or lying. it's hardcoded into RMN's infrastructure, actually. don't know why the bot hasn't stripped you of your privileges and marked you as an enemy of the state. probably liberty broke it

demonlord has only parroted the ozzy case and then gone "meh, could be PA." everything else is mechanical analysis.

author=PlatinumAshes
My confidence in the case on these two was so low, that I didn't even vote for either in the end. I just went for the most inconspicuous player, which was Fomar.


this still doesn't make sense to me. what's the point of just putting your vote on the most inconspicuous guy if you have any reads at all.


I'd vote any of these three (AE, demonlord, PA) but I'm not going to be here at deadline, probably. I'm going to leave my vote on demonlord to equalize the votes a bit. this almost kind of makes it like majority rules where people actually have to vote.
PlatinumAshes
I am now certain that you are not scum and are just town trying to play scum as hard as possible.
0
Since Ozzy, PSY and Fomar are (for now) off the table, let's see where that leaves us. Here's what I think about everyone else that I haven't mentioned

Emily who I don't see the case against. She was speculating about the hammer and I disagreed with her, but I don't see anything scummy in it. The way she voted against me also doesn't make me suspect her, it did seem like she just got Ninja'd. Also she didn't jump on the Ozzy wagon.

Cap H and CAVE Were pretty early on the Ozzy wagon. Whether that's a good or a bad thing depends on whether Ozzy is a real agent. Cap H also tried to start something on me just now. Assuming Ozzy is really an agent, I think Cap H looks like a good lynch candidate. But I also think we should wait it out first to see what Ozzy ends up being.

oddRABIT who was himself in his early posts and now he has become completely invisible again. I hate how he does this

milk Who is even more invisible, but I oppose lynching him only on grounds of him being new. I would lynch odd instead.

Jeroen I'm leaning town on. He could have jumped on my wagon just now and it wouldn't have put him in much danger if he were scum.

lockeZ His posts seem to be more about the game setup. I expected more in-depth reads from him to be honest. His only detailed read was about my avatar at the start of the game.