[MAFIA] SPY VS. MAFIA II DAY 3

Off to bed, will post my analysis in the morning if it's allowed. The final person did have a few telltale signs if it is them but would need to check with Jeroen.

@Jero: I assume you were the one that convincing Maxwell to kill Ozzy? I'm curious if they offered any justification for wanting to keep Ozzy alive.

author=CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
I don't have a strong feeling that it's psy based on his posting but the other options suck more. i refuse to believe that lockez or cap are out-metagaming me.

@cave: unclear to me why you'd rule out CapH/LockeZ

anyone else have any cool ideas

author=CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
https://rpgmaker.net/forums/topics/24744/?post=890006#post890006https://rpgmaker.net/forums/topics/24744/?post=889947#post889947

i haven't rule them out. they suck more. trashy meta arguments

This was cap's like 3rd post in the game, I think he's plenty capable of pretending to not know that, especially when it wasn't public knowledge at that point.

I guess I'm less active because of times I'm around. And there's usually not that much to say before the game moves again.

Don't even try to lynch me, I have an item, which renders me lynchproof today.

One thing I was thinking about is that we can't 100%% trust Jero's claim. There might be another part to it, which he hasn't revealed to us. For example, what if he's the last wolf and a double agent? In that case he's only trying to mislead us. We can lynch anyone and he would win by killing odd at night.
If there's a way to protect odd, I suggest lynching Jero today and finding the last spy tomorrow.
Psy makes most sense as the third scum. He pushed Odd, based on spy names tmi. I think that push he and Jero made looks quite synchronized.
But, why would Psy use the tuba on Fomar? It was an unnecessary confirmation of a possible mislynch.

author=CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
also with cap there's the stuff jeroen said about how the last scum talked in scumchat. given that jeroen could have just stayed silent and won, I see more reason to trust him than not.

This is a good point. He was far from pressure to fake claim. I can only imagine him making the claim to make the game more fun for him or to have a more elaborate reason. I don't know, him conceding after figuring out all other agents doesn't sound all that reliable. So, there's probably one thing he's hiding from us. The last scum's speech patterns might be an elaborate lie.

My gut says Cap_H, my brain says Psy or Cave.

I'll be back in about 7 hours so shortly before the end of the day phase, if someone is a vote away from hammer I would probably hammer just in case of an item messing with the vote e.g. tuba.

Emily, I see that being an option. Jero's not Piano, who would automatically side with town as a 3p. And the claim doesn't state his real alignment, only names he is known under in the two chats.

I can't prove it, you can try to lynch me, tho. It would be also an ideal fake item to claim, if I were scum. The only thing you can be sure of is that I'm not both a wolf and a holder of an item here. The game would be over otherwise.