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SUMMER MOVIE WAGER
Posts
pianotm
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CloseFrogge
I still can't believe guardians made more than spiderverse?? The movie I've seen like 5 people talk about made more money than the one that's literally an internet sensation right now??? I see like 10 drawings of miguel o hara's ass on my twitter timeline every day?????? (Perhaps that's just very telling about me)
Like I said, GotG is one of my all-time favorite Marvel series. I literally put it high on my list because I refused to believe as many people were going to turn away from it as experts were saying. But, I did also put Spider-Man higher, much for the same reason as you; it's the one everyone was talking about.
Likewise, I was totally prepared to believe in a list where The Flash doesn't even exist, but with Michael Keaton as Batman, and as hard as it was being advertised, I thought everyone would immediately forget the fact that Ezra Miller was a thug and a menace that the courts just let walk because of reasons. Everywhere I turned, I saw people saying they were going to see it for Batman. Nobody even seemed to care about WB getting Miller off the hook for something you and I would never get out of a prison sentence for. I was convinced that the masses were oblivious to the very obvious fact that 89 Batman was obviously poorly used fan service and that they were just going to turn the character into a joke. Turns out I should have had more faith in my fellow moviegoer.
Shinan
4314
author=Frogge
I still can't believe guardians made more than spiderverse?? The movie I've seen like 5 people talk about made more money than the one that's literally an internet sensation right now??? I see like 10 drawings of miguel o hara's ass on my twitter timeline every day?????? (Perhaps that's just very telling about me)
Looking at the day-by-day Spider-Verse 2 is beating Guardians 3:
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Spider-Man-Across-the-Spider-Verse-(2023)#tab=box-office
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Guardians-of-the-Galaxy-Vol-3-(2023)#tab=box-office
After 15 days in theaters Spider-Verse 2 is at 261m and after 15 days in theaters Guardians 3 was at 243m. It's going to be very close considering all the competition that is coming up but we'll see.
The Flash's Friday was about half that of Spider-Verse 2 and Guardians 3 so it doesn't look like it's going to beat those. It seems to be more in the Fast X and Transformers range. So it seems I bet a bit much on Keaton :D
Darken
3952
Oof at the Flash, kinda don't know why I even had it on my list. Then again I don't think people were expecting this at all. Asteroid City is also defying all expectations, maybe good movies do well in the box office???? a new trend????? who can say
Welp.
So much for my prediction that the "throw every cameo at the wall schtick" of the Flash would work to draw in audiences. (coupled with my assumption that MCU fatigue was greater than it turned out to be).
Ah well.
So much for my prediction that the "throw every cameo at the wall schtick" of the Flash would work to draw in audiences. (coupled with my assumption that MCU fatigue was greater than it turned out to be).
Ah well.
Shinan
4314
Yeah Flash flopped hard and the way it is dropping (below Elemental in both's sixth day and Elemental was also a bit of a flop) it might not even end up in the top 10 at the end of the summer...
Seems there are no massive releases this weekend so this would have been great if The Flash had been better, to reign supreme for a second weekend. Instead I bet Spiderverse 2 is going to take in a whole bunch of money. (and maybe even pass Guardians 3)
Seems there are no massive releases this weekend so this would have been great if The Flash had been better, to reign supreme for a second weekend. Instead I bet Spiderverse 2 is going to take in a whole bunch of money. (and maybe even pass Guardians 3)
I did just go see spiderverse for a second time yesterday so I’m helping myself win :)))
Edit: In fact, similar to endgame, there’s a solid chance it might top box office specifically thanks to people going to see it multiple times. I know my boyfriend wants to see it again so I might be potentially seeing it a third time in cinemas and one of my friends told me he had already seen it 3 times aswell, hoping for a fourth.
Edit: In fact, similar to endgame, there’s a solid chance it might top box office specifically thanks to people going to see it multiple times. I know my boyfriend wants to see it again so I might be potentially seeing it a third time in cinemas and one of my friends told me he had already seen it 3 times aswell, hoping for a fourth.
So, apparently, The Flash is so bad, WB has been giving away tickets for free to try to get people to watch it...in week 2. Even Grace Randolph says that this is the first time she's ever seen a major studio do a buy 1, get 1 for one of its major tentpoles. It's being beaten by Elemental, which itself is making history, being Pixar's worst-ever bomb, out-bombing The Good Dinosaur.
Shinan
4314
These are preliminary numbers after this weekend. But I thought I'd do my next update when we had a new number one movies of the summer which either happens this weekend or then happens on Monday. (It's Spider-Verse 2)
So the top 8 summer movies are currently: Spider-Verse 2, Guardians 3, The Little Mermaid, Transformers, Fast X, Indy 5, Elemental and The Flash.
And with that standing the Movie Wager standing is as follows:
Frogge: 41 points
kentona: 39 points
Dudesoft: 39 points
Darken: 37 points
Shinan: 34 points
pianotm: 31 points
The big movies still coming are Mission Impossible next weekend and then Barbie and Oppenheimer and then a bit later TMNT.
I had bet on Ruby Gillman which bombed hard. Elemental has had quite some staying power but I did bet it to be higher than it is likely to be and The Flash was a gigantic bomb as we all know. Oh and... Indy 5 has no chance of getting the #1 slot that I bet it at. But it's doing okay numbers and will probably at least beat the overperforming (to me) Transformers (which just overtook Fast X)
So the top 8 summer movies are currently: Spider-Verse 2, Guardians 3, The Little Mermaid, Transformers, Fast X, Indy 5, Elemental and The Flash.
And with that standing the Movie Wager standing is as follows:
Frogge: 41 points
kentona: 39 points
Dudesoft: 39 points
Darken: 37 points
Shinan: 34 points
pianotm: 31 points
The big movies still coming are Mission Impossible next weekend and then Barbie and Oppenheimer and then a bit later TMNT.
I had bet on Ruby Gillman which bombed hard. Elemental has had quite some staying power but I did bet it to be higher than it is likely to be and The Flash was a gigantic bomb as we all know. Oh and... Indy 5 has no chance of getting the #1 slot that I bet it at. But it's doing okay numbers and will probably at least beat the overperforming (to me) Transformers (which just overtook Fast X)
Shinan
4314
Well Barbie happened. And it ended up with the year's biggest opening weekend. Combined with Oppenheimer this weekend was apparently the biggest box office weekend since Avengers: Endgame
https://www.the-numbers.com/news/254630830-Weekend-projections-Barbie-and-Oppenheimer-deliver-biggest-weekend-since-Endgame
And that means that Barbie shot up to 4th place overall this summer just after its first three days. With the top 10 movies currently being: 1. Spider-Verse 2, 2. Guardians 3, 3. The Little Mermaid, 4. Barbie, 5. Indy 5, 6. Transformers (some number), 7. Fast X, 8. Elemental, 9. Sound of Freedom, 10. Mission Impossible 7
That means that our scores are currently as follows:
1. kentona, 57 points
2. Dudesoft, 44 points
3. frogge, 43 points
3. Darken, 43 points
5. Shinan, 42 points
6. pianotm, 34 points
Lots will still happen. Sound of Freedom's weird march to the top seems to continue and messing up everyone's lists. Barbie will probably rise even further and possibly take the top spot, messing up everyone's lists and Oppenheimer is going to take a spot possibly pushing Mission Impossible or Elemental completely off the top 10.
Then there's still movies like TMNT and Haunted Mansion coming up but they are unlikely contenders at this point.
https://www.the-numbers.com/news/254630830-Weekend-projections-Barbie-and-Oppenheimer-deliver-biggest-weekend-since-Endgame
And that means that Barbie shot up to 4th place overall this summer just after its first three days. With the top 10 movies currently being: 1. Spider-Verse 2, 2. Guardians 3, 3. The Little Mermaid, 4. Barbie, 5. Indy 5, 6. Transformers (some number), 7. Fast X, 8. Elemental, 9. Sound of Freedom, 10. Mission Impossible 7
That means that our scores are currently as follows:
1. kentona, 57 points
2. Dudesoft, 44 points
3. frogge, 43 points
3. Darken, 43 points
5. Shinan, 42 points
6. pianotm, 34 points
Lots will still happen. Sound of Freedom's weird march to the top seems to continue and messing up everyone's lists. Barbie will probably rise even further and possibly take the top spot, messing up everyone's lists and Oppenheimer is going to take a spot possibly pushing Mission Impossible or Elemental completely off the top 10.
Then there's still movies like TMNT and Haunted Mansion coming up but they are unlikely contenders at this point.
Speaking of movies, I finally watched Black Adam. It was very good! Not sure why it didn't do well. I liked how visceral the battles were
Shinan
4314
Things are happening fast now and I want to save this temporary snapshot while Barbenheimer and Sound of Freedom are shooting up the ranks. Mostly to witness my gigantic downfall.
After this weekend the top 10 looks to be as follows: 1. Spider-Verse, 2. Guardians 3, 3. Barbie, 4. The Little Mermaid, 5. Oppenheimer, 6. Indy 5, 7. Transformers, 8. Sound of Freedom, 9. Fast X, 10. Elemental
Which means the current scores are:
1. kentona, 50 points
2. frogge, 48 points
3. Dudesoft, 40 points
3. Darken, 40 points
5. pianotm, 37 points
6. Shinan, 31 points
But by this time next week everything is likely to have changed again. My prediction is that Fast X will leave the top 10 completely as Elemental and Mission Impossible (currently #11) will pass it. Sound of Freedom will continue its insane rise and will close in on Indy 5 (or pass it). Barbie will be the new #1
I feel like Oppenheimer is a bit too far away from Little Mermaid to pass it but who knows, anything can happen.
After this weekend the top 10 looks to be as follows: 1. Spider-Verse, 2. Guardians 3, 3. Barbie, 4. The Little Mermaid, 5. Oppenheimer, 6. Indy 5, 7. Transformers, 8. Sound of Freedom, 9. Fast X, 10. Elemental
Which means the current scores are:
1. kentona, 50 points
2. frogge, 48 points
3. Dudesoft, 40 points
3. Darken, 40 points
5. pianotm, 37 points
6. Shinan, 31 points
But by this time next week everything is likely to have changed again. My prediction is that Fast X will leave the top 10 completely as Elemental and Mission Impossible (currently #11) will pass it. Sound of Freedom will continue its insane rise and will close in on Indy 5 (or pass it). Barbie will be the new #1
I feel like Oppenheimer is a bit too far away from Little Mermaid to pass it but who knows, anything can happen.
It seems I severely underestimated that the righties would have the brain capacity to find their way to a movie theatre and manage to pay for a ticket. Next they'll learn to count to 10. Scary.
Shinan
4314
Going into the new weekend I thought I'd update as Barbie is now firmly in the #1 spot and points have changed yet again as Mission Impossible is back on the board.
The top 10 is as follows: 1. Barbie, 2. Spider-Verse 2, 3. Guardians 3, 4. The Little Mermaid, 5. Oppenheimer, 6. Indiana Jones 5, 7. Sound of Freedom, 8. Transformers, 9. Mission Impossible 7, 10. Elemental
Which leads us to how the board looks:
1. kentona, 44 points
2. Darken, 41 points
3. frogge, 39 points
4. Shinan, 36 points
5. pianotm, 32 points
6. Dudesoft, 29 points
The changes I am still seeing on the horizon are Sound of Freedom passing Indy 5 and Mission Impossible passing Transformers. There's also a tiny chance that Elemental might pass Transformers but it's a close race, the gap is around 10 million and Elemental has been doing about 2million more a week than Transformers recently but that means it'll probably not pass Transformers before all of this is over.
Of any new releases I don't really foresee any of them cracking the top 10. TMNT would need another 100 million to get there and unless Blue Beetle has an insane opening (it won't) there aren't really any true contenders for the top 10 anymore. But placements are still up for grabs!
The top 10 is as follows: 1. Barbie, 2. Spider-Verse 2, 3. Guardians 3, 4. The Little Mermaid, 5. Oppenheimer, 6. Indiana Jones 5, 7. Sound of Freedom, 8. Transformers, 9. Mission Impossible 7, 10. Elemental
Which leads us to how the board looks:
1. kentona, 44 points
2. Darken, 41 points
3. frogge, 39 points
4. Shinan, 36 points
5. pianotm, 32 points
6. Dudesoft, 29 points
The changes I am still seeing on the horizon are Sound of Freedom passing Indy 5 and Mission Impossible passing Transformers. There's also a tiny chance that Elemental might pass Transformers but it's a close race, the gap is around 10 million and Elemental has been doing about 2million more a week than Transformers recently but that means it'll probably not pass Transformers before all of this is over.
Of any new releases I don't really foresee any of them cracking the top 10. TMNT would need another 100 million to get there and unless Blue Beetle has an insane opening (it won't) there aren't really any true contenders for the top 10 anymore. But placements are still up for grabs!
