New account registration is temporarily disabled.

FINAL FANTASY XV

Posts

author=Kindredz
Okay, let's talk figures then.

It's 10/31/16 and Final Fantasy 15 has been released for about a month or so at a price of $60. I'll be generous and say that the game sold 2 million copies over that month's period. That's 120,000,000.

Let's underestimate Final Fantasy 15's development team at about 400. I'll even be a nice and lowball everyone's salary at 20k, each. Everyone, including overpaid management...20k each. That's 8 mil a year.

10 years...80 million dollars. 120 in the first month minus 80 for salary alone? 40 million profit, right?

Now let's deduct benefits...let's lowball that 10k a year, per employee. 4 mill a year multiplied by 10 years...40 mill, which is what we just made. We're now at zero.

Now let's discuss Marketing, Employee Attrition, scrapping the entire game TWICE, changing platforms for the game, creating an anime, hiring animators for the anime, hiring actors for the anime, hiring "big name hollywood" actors for that english version of that anime, hiring voice actors for the game...do I really need to continue?

Let us also not forget that during the long development time for FF15, most of the japanese have abandoned console gaming and shifted to mobile. Expecting ALL of those people to move back just for this game is a stretch so that increases the pressure on sales in other markets.

If this game releases at $60 then it would need to sell more copies than all of the prior FF sales numbers combined. And again, I purposely low-balled costs in this estimate. Releasing this game at $60 would be insanity.

Edit: Oh, I forgot. SE would likely only make around $30 for each $60 unit sold, so cut all of the income numbers I listed earlier in half. People weren't kidding when they say this game will either save or totally obliterate SE.


https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=final%20fantasy%20xv%20price

?
Craze
why would i heal when i could equip a morningstar
15170
Kindredz
Craze
kindredz is michael burry your idol or something

i like the game's weapon system.
Oh, you know a name!

No, I just have sense and logic. Now you don't need these things to access the internet, clearly, but those traits help when you want people to believe that you know what you're talking about. Or I guess I could just insult people and say "you're wrong" with no facts or figures like others have done.

I mean, I'm not friends with any of you here but I recognize screennames from years ago and it's sad that many of you don't seem to have grown at all. Many of you seemed to be quite intelligent...and talented! What have you done with that? As big as you guys talked all those years ago, I expected to see threads about your finished games, working for major developers or starting your own companies, wedding, divorces, etc...or not seeing the same at all because you're too busy with life...but nope! Same old names, same old threads, same old snarky mentality for damn near a decade. Hell, in just the last few years the gaming market itself has drastically changed...anyway, that's neither here nor there because again, I don't personally know any of you so if love your life then do you, bros.


lol
author=kindredz
I mean, I'm not friends with any of you here but I recognize screennames from years ago and it's sad that many of you don't seem to have grown at all. Many of you seemed to be quite intelligent...and talented! What have you done with that? As big as you guys talked all those years ago, I expected to see threads about your finished games, working for major developers or starting your own companies, wedding, divorces, etc...or not seeing the same at all because you're too busy with life...but nope! Same old names, same old threads, same old snarky mentality for damn near a decade. Hell, in just the last few years the gaming market itself has drastically changed...anyway, that's neither here nor there because again, I don't personally know any of you so if love your life then do you, bros.

Oh, what-ever, dude. Let's not get into the 'I have a life and you guys don't!!!' dickmeasuring contest; I've done more things, traveled, and experienced more life events in the past 5 years in the military and college than a lot of people do their entire lives! But that's not intrinsic to me; in addition, I know a fair other amount of people on RMN outside of the site, and many of them have also had eventful, fulfilling personal, professional, and hobbyist accomplishments, some of which blow my journey out of the water! We're still here because we enjoy what we do, even if the record repeats itself occasionally.

Almost every 5 posts of yours seems to be how enlightened and wizened you are compared to everyone else. Cut it out, it's getting old, and it's not even true, at that. If we're going to talk FFVX, let's talk FFXV (and beyond your number crunching (that ignores a ton of variables), you still have failed to convince me that; 1. FFVX will cost more than the 60$ that its currently listed for and 2. Significant, relative historical precedent for your claims.

Get over yourself!
Maybe I shouldn't have bumped this topic in the first place. There's this one person who's being so ridiculous.

Oh, wait. Right. It's April Fool's Day.
Please stop being such an elitist jerkwad.

Also, if you're expecting threads about finished games, you've come to the wrong place buddy. Go look in the games section of the site instead. You'll find what you're looking for there.
author=Kindredz
If this game releases at $60 then it would need to sell more copies than all of the prior FF sales numbers combined. And again, I purposely low-balled costs in this estimate. Releasing this game at $60 would be insanity.

Where are you getting your numbers? The only numbers I'm aware of (from Wikipedia) place FF7 at over 9 million sold, and FF8 at over 8 million. FF10 was 6 million, and FF12 was close to that number as well. Moreover, when you actually check out the sources for those numbers, many are missing international markets. And every one ranks in the top 15 best selling games on their respective systems. If FF15 sold more than all of the previous Final Fantasies combined, it would be the best selling console game of all time, beating out even those that came free with their systems (such as the original Super Mario Bros).

I tried finding reliable video game development cost data without much success, but it seems like FF13 may have been in the $90 million range, and $300 million as perhaps the most expensive AAA game of all time. Not sure if that's true, but that gives us a reasonable upper bound for FF15. We can assume between $20-40 goes back to SquareEnix for each sale.

That gives us a break even point of anywhere between 3.75 million and 15 million in sales.

But we know SquareEnix wouldn't expect 15 million in sales. We also know, based upon FF13's development, that they're willing to cut development down to keep budgets within a certain range. So we're probably looking at them earning at least $30/game or a budget less than $300 million.

Any project that has to get remade certainly suffers from a bloated budget. On the flip side, as SquareEnix showed with FF14, remaking a project can be worth it, and if FF15 ends up as a blockbuster, they'll make money on it no matter what.

If it were me, I'm guessing that they'd be happy with 7.5 million in sales. And I'm guessing that 7.5 million is an achievable figure.

Bottom line though, I don't know where you're getting your numbers Kindredz, but they don't make any sense and aren't grounded in reality.

As for FFXV itself, I'm optimistic. It's clear a lot of effort is being put in the game. And it's also clear they aren't pushing it out early just to be done with it. I think it'll be good.
This is an amazing thread.
LockeZ
I'd really like to get rid of LockeZ. His play style is way too unpredictable. He's always like this too. If he ran a country, he'd just kill and imprison people at random until crime stopped.
5958
A lot of the work they did on FF15 will be reused for other games. For example, they built a whole new engine for it, but that engine is gonna be used in at least half a dozen other games also. They will be able to reuse a lot of the graphics and sound in FFXV-2 and FFXV-3.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There are basically two schools of Final Fantasy game design. And most main series FF games are a blending of the two styles, to some extent, because they know they alienate a lot of fans otherwise. But when they just take one style to its absolute extreme, they get FFXV. And when they take the other style to its absolute extreme, they get Bravely Default.

And, uh, Bravely Default is everything I've ever wanted out of a Final Fantasy game.

Things I dislike in FF games: modern settings, open world exploration, real-time combat, automatic party members, any type of gameplay simplifications, teenagers, angst, focus on graphical quality.

Things I like in FF games: medieval settings, linear storytelling, world maps, turn-based combat, complex job systems, tactical planning and preparation, airships, being chosen by the crystals.
Things I like in FF games: most stuff.

The only FF game I didn't really like at all was X and I know a lot of people liked it so it's more a personal taste thing than them doing something wrong with the formula. I have faith that FFXV will be a bundle of fun, I just hope it comes to computer because my poor pocket can't afford a new console. I still only own a PS2!

(My newest console, bar a beefed-up computer, is my 3DS and that has now got a reboot to it, so...)
Craze
why would i heal when i could equip a morningstar
15170
LockeZ
A lot of the work they did on FF15 will be reused for other games. For example, they built a whole new engine for it, but that engine is gonna be used in at least half a dozen other games also. They will be able to reuse a lot of the graphics and sound in FFXV-2 and FFXV-3.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There are basically two schools of Final Fantasy game design. And most main series FF games are a blending of the two styles, to some extent, because they know they alienate a lot of fans otherwise. But when they just take one style to its absolute extreme, they get FFXV. And when they take the other style to its absolute extreme, they get Bravely Default.

And, uh, Bravely Default is everything I've ever wanted out of a Final Fantasy game.

Things I dislike in FF games: modern settings, open world exploration, real-time combat, automatic party members, any type of gameplay simplifications, teenagers, angst, focus on graphical quality.

Things I like in FF games: medieval settings, linear storytelling, world maps, turn-based combat, complex job systems, tactical planning and preparation, airships, being chosen by the crystals.


BRAVELY SECOND COMES OUT IN LESS THAN TWO WEEKS i spent six hours in the demo x_x

And yeah, like I've mentinoed before in this thread, the PC thing is hopefully going to happen. I doubt it'll be on the release day, but hopefully within a year after... that'd be nice. For, like, people in general. I don't think my laptop will be able to run it; I actually used the Nvidia console to turn off AA in Lightning Returns so that I could start hitting 50-60 fps.
...I should try that in LR. I have a beefed up computer but apparently it needs some bacon added too. orz


square, how about going back to pixels or non-HD-realistic graphics for a while, eh?
Craze
why would i heal when i could equip a morningstar
15170
"non-hd-realistic graphics"

I ALREADY MENTIONED THAT BRAVELY SECOND COMES OUT IN <2 WEEKS DIDN'T I

http://www.perfectly-nintendo.com/bravely-second-gameplay-footage-screenshots-limited-edition-pictures-north-america/

GJ SQUENIX
I literally just saw on the Tumblr ticker thing that preorder is indeed $59. Man of my word so I Guess I'll be eating that brick. Poor business but I guess it shouldn't be a surprise considering...everything else.

I was wrong, everybody.

And lol @ elitist jerkwad. That's all I got from a quick skim of this page...I'll read the rest of this later...possibly. How's that for non-elitist jerkwad
Craze
why would i heal when i could equip a morningstar
15170
i mean. have you read your posts
Well, I did write them so yeah...but I can take a lead from you and reply without actually including the quote that I'm replying to. That seems like a elitist dick move in my book but who's judging? Anyway, this is a topic about FF15, not who is less of an asshole...so let's get back to the subject at hand(*watches you and others disappear completely out of the topic*)...

I was wrong about the price but not about everything else. $60 a game? Again, they're gonna need to sell more copies than the entire catalogue or it will be a massive failure. If that Kingdom Hearts circa 2004 demo is what people should be looking forward to? Good luck with that. It's like Nomura is blackmailing SE with a vid of all of the executive staff in a massive child porn orgy...I can think of no other reason for such constant poor decision-making.

...and to think he went to see Les Miserables and then tried to convince SE to make FF15 a musical. GG, Final Fantasy. RIP.
author=Kindredz
I was wrong about the price but not about everything else. $60 a game? Again, they're gonna need to sell more copies than the entire catalogue or it will be a massive failure. If that Kingdom Hearts circa 2004 demo is what people should be looking forward to? Good luck with that.


I just don't understand where you're getting this projection from, since FFXV doesn't have that much of a marketing cost than many other AAA games. Besides for the development time, the rest is pretty standard stuff. I mean, Rockstar covers entire sides of buildings in NYC with GTA adverts.

You still have failed to provide an equivalent precedent where a AAA game has had to charge more than 60 bucks to cover the cost of production and marketing.
I'd buy FF: The Musical day one even if it was only a fraction of how good Les Miserables was. You hear me SE! Make a musical!
Craze
why would i heal when i could equip a morningstar
15170
i mean threatrhythm curtain call is so good that i keep it in my 3ds at all times and only download games because... why take FF:TR out???

also pls. i'm not an elitist dick. i'm rmn's premier anti-villain

edit: bravely second in two days, kasnasfeadl it's already downloaded on my 3ds. i'm going to spend the next two days calculating its marketing costs to make sure that my $40 was adequate coverage
I'm trying to be less of a sucker, so I won't be getting Bravely Second. I've already fallen for it twice.