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RPGMAKER MAFIA FOR NORMAL PEOPLE GAME OVER [MAFIA]
Posts
OldPat
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Closeauthor=Fomar0153author=OldPatTale is newish, I think he's played one or two fewer games than me. I think it's language more than anything.
Still reading on Fomar, Emily and Tale.
Tale looks kinda "lost" to me because he's a newbie too (right?)
Difficult for me to do a reading on him, for now.
Ah okay. Newish is close enough
demonlord5000
680
Hey, I'm alive! I still support my LP lynch, but I'm open too other lynches too. I do feel a bit better about cap from his later posts.
I could get behind a jeroen lynch. I don't think voting me is suspicious by itself considering he scum reads me every single game, but I can see the arguments that have been made for a jero lynch.
Odd is the easy lynch here. He does this every game where he posts but doesn't really contribute anything helpful
Emily feels different to me than last game where she rolled scum. She actually threw down an early joke vote, and was willing to switch off of it later.
I can't say I know enough about oldpats style, but she does seem to be genuinely looking for scum.
LP hasn't really done anything that makes me feel any better about her.
I think my picks for today would be LP, odd, or jero.
I could get behind a jeroen lynch. I don't think voting me is suspicious by itself considering he scum reads me every single game, but I can see the arguments that have been made for a jero lynch.
Odd is the easy lynch here. He does this every game where he posts but doesn't really contribute anything helpful
Emily feels different to me than last game where she rolled scum. She actually threw down an early joke vote, and was willing to switch off of it later.
I can't say I know enough about oldpats style, but she does seem to be genuinely looking for scum.
LP hasn't really done anything that makes me feel any better about her.
I think my picks for today would be LP, odd, or jero.
Jeroen_Sol
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.
3885
If I didn't make a dumb mistake:
The probability of a town result being correct is always: (town - miller)/(town - miller + lawyer)
The probability of a scum result being correct is always: (scum - lawyer)/(scum - lawyer + miller)
The probability of any result being correct is always (players - lawyer - miller)/(players)
Here lawyer is 1 if lawyer is alive, and 0 if lawyer is dead. Same for miller.
The probability of a town result being correct is always: (town - miller)/(town - miller + lawyer)
The probability of a scum result being correct is always: (scum - lawyer)/(scum - lawyer + miller)
The probability of any result being correct is always (players - lawyer - miller)/(players)
Here lawyer is 1 if lawyer is alive, and 0 if lawyer is dead. Same for miller.
I mean I have to survive the night if my result were to pass. Possibility of doctor saving someone else could happen.
Jeroen_Sol
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.
3885
author=OldPat
tale is still new and he's still trying to partecipate and evaluate the situation. While I still can't get a full read on him, he didn't tickle my scum detector.
Do you doubt tale's cop claim?
I'm slightly behind again, but Fomar pointed out that odd presenting us with a puzzle instead of solving might be his way to avoid that solving and interact.
It's an interesting thought. I would like to pair it with the way odd reacted to tale's claim twice. Now, Mafia probably didn't overlook that he tried to crumble either a counter-claim or another town claim. This makes him partially self-resolving. Now, he could do it as mafia too with an intention to shade tale's claim. It makes sense in one very far-stretched situation. Wolves manage to kill tale and janitor him. odd would get at least a day to act as a cop.
Ridiculous, isn't it.
It's an interesting thought. I would like to pair it with the way odd reacted to tale's claim twice. Now, Mafia probably didn't overlook that he tried to crumble either a counter-claim or another town claim. This makes him partially self-resolving. Now, he could do it as mafia too with an intention to shade tale's claim. It makes sense in one very far-stretched situation. Wolves manage to kill tale and janitor him. odd would get at least a day to act as a cop.
Ridiculous, isn't it.
Fomar0153
16396
author=tale
I mean I have to survive the night if my result were to pass. Possibility of doctor saving someone else could happen.
Well you're the most likely target for a night kill but they know the doctor is likely to proect you. They won't want to waste a night kill so might target someone else. But then the doctor knows that as well and might decide to protect someone else reasoning they won't pick you etc.
author=Jeroen_Sol
If I didn't make a dumb mistake:
The probability of a town result being correct is always: (town - miller)/(town - miller + lawyer)
The probability of a scum result being correct is always: (scum - lawyer)/(scum - lawyer + miller)
The probability of any result being correct is always (players - lawyer - miller)/(players)
Here lawyer is 1 if lawyer is alive, and 0 if lawyer is dead. Same for miller.
Looks right to me.
Psy, being as you've solved Odd's puzzle, does the result affect whether or not you want to lynch him today?
author=OldPat
Fomar is fine, for now. Emily partecipated enough recently, imo. For now, nothing that tickles me about her.
This mention smells of you trying to get over your partner as quickly as possible. What makes you think that Emily participated enough?
author=OldPat
I don't have much to say about LP, for now. She's behaving the same as the last game.
Hm, I can't really say. I would have to take a look. What makes you say that?
Ok, Jero, you got me, I arrived at associative reads myself:
oldpat/princess/emily
What do you think?
I guess Oldie would be my lynch of choice out of the three. I like that he participates, but I also think that his reasoning for his votes has been fabricated.
oldpat/princess/emily
What do you think?
I guess Oldie would be my lynch of choice out of the three. I like that he participates, but I also think that his reasoning for his votes has been fabricated.
Fomar0153
16396
author=Cap_H
It makes sense in one very far-stretched situation. Wolves manage to kill tale and janitor him. odd would get at least a day to act as a cop.
Ridiculous, isn't it.
If tale dies and gets janitored I won't believe any cop claim that comes after.
I think end of day is 5 hours. I'll do a quick vote count.
I'm not the cop, though, so there's no reason for me to pretend to be.
I don't actually know if Psy solved my puzzle, but he probably did?
Honestly, I'm probably the safest non-Mafia kill, so I don't think Psy would particularly mind me dying so early. I'm not talking for him, though.
I don't actually know if Psy solved my puzzle, but he probably did?
Honestly, I'm probably the safest non-Mafia kill, so I don't think Psy would particularly mind me dying so early. I'm not talking for him, though.
author=oddRABBIT
I'm not the cop, though, so there's no reason for me to pretend to be.
I don't actually know if Psy solved my puzzle, but he probably did?
Honestly, I'm probably the safest non-Mafia kill, so I don't think Psy would particularly mind me dying so early. I'm not talking for him, though.
Good, that's better than saying I can't counter-claim that. You might have wanted to take the hit, but i think wolves need to dodge doctor anyway.
Honestly, you should take stances instead of letting things pass.
Btw, starting tomorrow I'm hosting a game with ridiculous mechanics at civfanatics. There's one open slot.
https://forums.civfanatics.com/threads/catan-mafia-sign-up-thread.657748/
https://forums.civfanatics.com/threads/catan-mafia-sign-up-thread.657748/
