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[MAFIA] PRISONER'S DILEMMA. GAME OVER

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Also, regarding scum reads, I don't think you've also posted one on anyone strongly right demon? Wanna hear this from you and odd both, and also tale since I don't recall him really saying anything about anyone other than that lynch on emily.
Tale is unreadable to me. People have swore up and down that he's town though.

I've thought about odds claim a bit more and I think I'm willing to believe it. That would be ridiculous as a scum power if he could save himself twice with it.

Formar I could go either way. He comes across helpful but he also hasn't actively hunted anyone.

PA I feel a bit better about. Early game was weird but he's made some reasonable arguments since then.

Also, why would I be implying emily as town? I made a big case on her a few pages back. That's why I said I wouldn't have done that if I were scum. She has made some very weird decisions.
Also, here's a link to when I started building my case. I made more than a few posts about her as I was going back and looking at things.

https://rpgmaker.net/forums/topics/24686/?post=888040#post888040
oddRABBIT
I feel bored. How odd.
1979
Okay, I've got a few minutes.

author=ivoryjones
(And also, odd, your role mentions stopping kills as well right?)


It just says if someone targets me during the night, which I think includes kills, since scum would be targeting me during the night.

Um, in terms of lynching people, I can't say I'm particularly sure of anyone at this point. Demonlord, I think, feels town, and obviously Ivory and Ozzy are masons, so they're basically 100% confirmed.

Tale, I want to say is town? It's just a gut feeling. Fomar seems like he's been pretty helpful, and Kittenfood had no reason to lie about protecting Ivory, really.

About my self vote in D2-

I don't really know what piano expected me to do to prove that I'm town. I don't have role that confirms it.

I swear that I'm a vanilla town. I thought getting myself lynched would prove my alignment.

Really I should put more into voting and accussing/ discussing.

I admit it's weird that I didn't find anyone suspicious other than who I voted for.

-

@PA - Piano is confirmed town, so I think you're town too after he explained why you're not a scum.

https://rpgmaker.net/forums/topics/24686/?post=887792#post887792

It's weird that I try to protect you but as a town desperately try not lose numbers except sacrificing self isn't really good as you pointed out.

I started to say on lynch me on D2. D3 was a bit different.. I learned my lesson and I'll try not to do that again in the future.
Ok, there was a dumb idea I came up with in D1 about near-lynch vote.
If we're confident treating odd as confirmed town then we're up to four confirmed town. Which means assuming a lynch and a confirmed town night kill everytime:

Day 3:
4 confirmed town
1 scum
4 town

Day 4:
3 confirmed town
1 scum
3 town

Day 5:
2 confirmed town
1 scum
2 town

Day 6:
1 confirmed town
1 scum
1 town

If we could work out one more confirmed town then we would win even if we mis-lynched everytime until the final day.
author=Fomar0153
If we're confident treating odd as confirmed town then we're up to four confirmed town. Which means assuming a lynch and a confirmed town night kill everytime:

Day 3:
4 confirmed town
1 scum
4 town

Day 4:
3 confirmed town
1 scum
3 town

Day 5:
2 confirmed town
1 scum
2 town

Day 6:
1 confirmed town
1 scum
1 town

If we could work out one more confirmed town then we would win even if we mis-lynched everytime until the final day.


wait so if we did have one more then would it be worth doing that? would it be autowin???
author=kittenfood
wait so if we did have one more then would it be worth doing that? would it be autowin???


As long as we're confident enough about the confirmed towns.
With odd as confirmed town our chances of winning rose to 80%.
author=Fomar0153
author=kittenfood
wait so if we did have one more then would it be worth doing that? would it be autowin???
As long as we're confident enough about the confirmed towns.
With odd as confirmed town our chances of winning rose to 80%.


Also if we're 99% sure last scum doesn't have any secret skills/gimmicks up their sleeves
oddRABBIT
I feel bored. How odd.
1979
author=ivoryjones
author=Fomar0153
author=kittenfood
wait so if we did have one more then would it be worth doing that? would it be autowin???
As long as we're confident enough about the confirmed towns.
With odd as confirmed town our chances of winning rose to 80%.
Also if we're 99% sure last scum doesn't have any secret skills/gimmicks up their sleeves


Yeah, I was just about to comment on that, so I would've gotten ninja'd.

Ah, but with Psy being rolecop (that's what it was, right?), what's the likelihood of the third scum having a solid power role?
We've got just over a day left to decide our lynch. Which will logically be one of us unconfirmed vanilla town people.

As things stand now my order of preference:
PlatinumAshes, AlaskanEmily, tale, demonlord, Fomar
CAVE_DOG_IS_BACK
On sunny days, I go out walking
1142
A MESSAGE FROM THE UNABLE TO POST KITTENFOOD

:"@Fomar i didnt think of it that way!!! then i would like to offer something that i think might help. please forgive me for being intentionally unclear about my role. i do not have just one night action, but i can only use one a night and only once. last night i followed tale, and he did not visit anyone. unless he is ninja, he couldn't have killed shinan!! so i really think he is town. with him it's 80%, and if we believe odd then it's 100%!! right!?"

Well in that case we're down to:
PlatinumAshes, AlaskanEmily, demonlord, Fomar

If we're sure about odd then it's mathematically impossible for the scum to win unless they have an ability.
testing. why can i not post?? ive literally only posted three times today! how am i somehow now on an accelerated post limit????? please work. this is ridiculous. if this goes through and anyone would like more clarification on something please ask me.
@kitten

wait, what, did you just say you have more than 1 role?? How many exact abilities do you have right now? I mean, I'm not gonna piss at you since I'm one to talk (mason + vig) bu whaaa??
i really need that gif right now that has john cena suddenly barging through a wall :|
author=kittenfood
testing. why can i not post?? ive literally only posted three times today! how am i somehow now on an accelerated post limit????? please work. this is ridiculous. if this goes through and anyone would like more clarification on something please ask me.


Because libs loathes you and doesn't want town to win.
Jk jk.
or am i?
oddRABBIT
I feel bored. How odd.
1979
Kittenfood, with that being the case, do you think you could try investigating those four? I think if you did that (assuming you weren't nightkilled, since by revealing that, I think it makes you a high-priority target?) we could probably finish off scum in like two nights?

Also, if there's any more people with like a role that can defend others, please defend Kittenfood!