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sleep don't pacify us until
daybreak sky lights up the grid we live in
dizzy when we talk so fast
fields of numbers streamin' past
daybreak sky lights up the grid we live in
dizzy when we talk so fast
fields of numbers streamin' past
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What are you thinking about right now?
that wasn't a value judgement, just a reason why the shy tory effect might not apply to trump voters
I'm not really interested in hearing the ways in which the two camps are Just As Bad as each other. it's a subject that really does nothing for me.
I'm not really interested in hearing the ways in which the two camps are Just As Bad as each other. it's a subject that really does nothing for me.
What are you thinking about right now?
What are you thinking about right now?
college-educated people are leaning very strongly towards the Democrats this election, yeah
Republicans still have support from a majority of white people, unsurprisingly, but it's actually a smaller lead than Romney had at this time last election (13% versus Romney's 17% iirc)
Republicans still have support from a majority of white people, unsurprisingly, but it's actually a smaller lead than Romney had at this time last election (13% versus Romney's 17% iirc)
What are you thinking about right now?
I've seen similar, but separate predictions placing Trump's chances as low as 10-20% during his upswing. that seems a little too optimistic to believe at face value, but at least the trends agree.
people also show some concern for the 'shy tory effect', where people respond to polls incorrectly out of shame or bashfulness, but honestly Trump voters are so incredibly loud about their beliefs that I doubt that'd work much in his favour
people also show some concern for the 'shy tory effect', where people respond to polls incorrectly out of shame or bashfulness, but honestly Trump voters are so incredibly loud about their beliefs that I doubt that'd work much in his favour
What are you thinking about right now?
the projections use an aggregate of various polls, though some have also criticized fivethirtyeight for being too permissive in terms of the polls it takes into account
What are you thinking about right now?
it's fivethirtyeight's ongoing estimate of each candidate's overall probability of winning, calculated by running simulated elections based on current polling with the results adjusted for economic factors and historical trends
it isn't an expression of overall voter approval, but a projection of what those votes will likely do
this year's projections are also (due to those factors mentioned above) being adjusted in favour of the republican party to a degree that some would say is excessive, so the actual odds might be even more extreme than shown here
it isn't an expression of overall voter approval, but a projection of what those votes will likely do
this year's projections are also (due to those factors mentioned above) being adjusted in favour of the republican party to a degree that some would say is excessive, so the actual odds might be even more extreme than shown here
What are you thinking about right now?
What are you thinking about right now?
*emerges from a nearby trash can* hmm that seems like a bit of a reaction....... could someone around here be OFFENDED????
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