[MAFIA] THE RESISTANCE: AVALON MAFIA - GAME ON

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PlatinumAshes
I am now certain that you are not scum and are just town trying to play scum as hard as possible.
0
That day one went very quickly in the end, and I missed a lot of events since last night. I'm finally caught up but it's 0:45 and I have work tomorrow morning, sorry that I'm not posting more.

If I'm reading the time codes right, you guys hammered IF with a million hours still left on the clock, and he hadn't really said all he wanted to say. Can I point out that was a really bad idea? I'm looking at you Cap_H. I wanted to know why he was so suspicious of these players that he trusted before, but allas...


Right now I'm left wondering why scum chose Ozzy as their night one target...

He wasn't as active or aggressive as some other players, so he wasn't immediately dangerous. Hitting Lancelot is literally the worst outcome for them (except for hitting their own Oberon, perhaps) since they lost their night kill AND they give us a confirmed townie.

Thus, scum has clearly misread Ozzy's behavior. They either thought he was vanilla, Percival or Merlin. All three of those are possibilities, but I suspect they thought he was Merlin.

In general, with the rules we have been given, it just makes more sense to me, for scum to always lynch the person who they think is most likely Merlin. They might end up hitting a bad target some of the times with that tactic (as they just have), but if they get lucky and hit Merlin, they win the game on the spot (technically Lancelot dies first, and then there's 1 more day where town gets a chance to look for Mordred. It's still pretty much won for scum).

Maybe Ozzy made some out of no nowhere scum reads that lead them to believe he was Merlin and dropping hints? I honestly don't remember such a thing myself but I'm gonna re-read all of his posts carefully.

I should point out, however, that it's possible they shot Ozzy to put us on the wrong footing. I don't think that tactic is very costly in this game mode, because the payoff for hitting Merlin is so big. But if scum is really clever and ballsy, they could have gone that route.
PlatinumAshes
I am now certain that you are not scum and are just town trying to play scum as hard as possible.
0
I just majorly ninja'd pinaotm hahaha
pianotm
The TM is for Totally Magical.
32388
Cap_H
Ok, them being trustworthy is rhetorical. We mislynched and nobody is proven town as of a now. They a notch higher for succeeding. This means their decision was pro-town. In reality it doesn't make them less scummy or anything. They just gave us this little piece of information we can read them off. It would be nice to build upon it with more. It's more that I want to see their scummiest picks and I want to see how the actual mission play outs. It can spring interesting discussion.


Absolutely agreed. IF was the towniest town in Townington and then flat out lied to us about his reads, either when he made them or after when he made his decision to vote demonlord. Just because it was a mislynch doesn't mean it was a bad lynch. There was literally nothing else anyone could do.

About the Lancelot thing. Cap is in this discussion with psy and Cap is the first one to bring up Lancelot. I'd question psy's comment suggesting that Lancelot could safely claim, but then psy has a history of doing this in previous games. Since Ozzy has claimed, it's water under the bridge. We already know scum knew he was Lancelot because:

Cap_H
I guess wolves didn't forward a kill as town has no doc.


Seriously? Of course, they did! They would have gone for the player that threatened them most, and I will point out that Merlin knows who not-Mordred scum are. Ozzy probably said something that made them think he was Merlin. Other than that, I can't guess why they'd go after Ozzy, but he definitely had some solid posts.

Don't take my word for it, though. Here's LockeZ:

LockeZ
I have to assume the scum team already knows who Lancelot is, since nobody died last night. Like, it's theoretically possible that they didn't kill anyone on purpose and are trying to trick us, but that would be hella stupid. The theoretical purpose of that ploy would be for one of them to pretend to be Lancelot, and thus get "confirmed" as town. But if that's their plan, then it has a high chance of backfiring if the real Lancelot exists and counterclaims. And it also costs them an entire day.


psy_wombats
Probably. IF fumbled pretty hard so there was blood in the water as soon as he contradicted himself. If someone in also felt threatened enough to push the train it sure would be easy.


Absolutely right. Just because it was a good lynch doesn't mean it's beyond scrutiny, but this mafia 101. Always look for scum to join a bandwagon.

So, going through the rest of this, it seems like everyone's just mulling over the Lancelot discussion. About Muffle, I'd like to say, try and remember that not everyone has the same schedule as you. Everyone will talk in their own time.
pianotm
The TM is for Totally Magical.
32388
PlatinumAshes
I just majorly ninja'd pinaotm hahaha


S'all good, bro.
I've been thinking about things too.

I'm willing to believe ozzy is lancealot despite how weird a choice he was as a target.

One thing I've been considering is psy's verses lockez team strategy. Lockez plan operates under the plan of hunting minor scum by putting in weird team combinations in an attempt for scum to out themselves for info. If this scenario happened, and one of them decided to fail the mission, then we use up a bunch of time hunting minor scum. I'm pretty sure lockez is operating under the chance that there is no mordred.

Meanwhile psy has talked about ignoring minor scum entirely. This could also work, but the risk here is that there is no mordred, and then late game we have no choice but to hit the possible assassin when there are fewer players. Given this scenario though, I would think assassin would try to stay hidden until later game when the potential targets are narrowed. For this reason, I doubt PA is the assassin. Given it wouldn't make sense for any other scum role to risk dying, I want to say hes probably town.

If you think about it, in the chance that there is no mordred, ignoring the assassin is exactly what scum would want us to do. I'm not sure how likely this is given we do have lancealot, but I thought it worth mentioning.
OzzyTheOne
Future Ruler of Gam Mak
4698
Just now I realized that I proposed two teams, I completely forgot that I posted that Kylaila, Demonlord, Odd team, due to it being redundant I'll pobably cancel said team.

Locke's plan of having the towniest person in a team with some others is still one I like, and right now I'm debating if I should also cancel my other team proposal. Regardless, for now I'll #cancel proposal Kylaila, Demonlord5000, OddRabbit.

Time to catch up on what everyone's been saying.


OzzyTheOne
Future Ruler of Gam Mak
4698
I just realized I can't cancel team proposals, darn it orz
@PA: I reread Ozzy's posts. The only people he ever floated as scum were you, me, IF, and Muffle, and this was all early, and all weakly. But he also made some conjecture about how the game was set up (includes Mordred, includes Assassin) that could seem like privileged info, and I made a huge deal about it. But while I thought it could make him scum, it couldn't make him Merlin as Merlin doesn't get role info -- possible oversight by scum?

@LockeZ: I don't understand your team reasoning. Do you /want/ scum to fail the missions? Are you trying to use "succeeds a mission" to judge someone as more towny?

@Piano: who do you think is scum? Cap? And this is also sort of @PA because unless you think Cap is Oberon, I don't think scum-Cap gleefully hammers someone he knows will flip town.

@Demon: I'm not sure if you're nominating me+PA for mordredless scumteam, but some thinking about the rest of the post -- I don't think we'll be able to tell the difference between Mordred or not 90% of the time unless they do some sort of villain confession on the way down. But for the missions: we should not give scum the opportunity to fail them knowing that there's a high probability that "expendables" like Assassin or even Oberon could exist.

@Oddrabbit: post more.
pianotm
The TM is for Totally Magical.
32388
I'm not as enthusiastic about a demonlord lynch as I was yesterday. Thinking about it, I can see that even though his first response to PA's fakeclaim seemed calm, his declaration that the game was dead certainly feels like he was probably freaking out over it. Also, while in most situations, demon counterlynching IF would seem scummy, in this particular case, I think it was the only possible response. Also, he's made some pretty town posts this phase.

LockeZ is LockeZ. Everything he's said is pretty by the numbers for him.

PlatinumAshes needs to be more talkative, I think. He barely posted yesterday, and again, he's barely posting today. I think he makes up for it with long informative posts, but seriously.

Cap, yeah, hammering definitely looks normal for Cap.

There's not a ton here that I haven't already commented on. Nobody really stands out to me as being scummy yet.

oddRABBIT's silence is deafening. He should have said SOMETHING by now.
oddRABBIT
I feel bored. How odd.
1979
Yes, I'm alive. Need to catch up a ton, though. I just graduated, so congrats for me, I guess. I should have a normal schedule now.
pianotm
The TM is for Totally Magical.
32388
Oh! Congratulations, oddRABBIT!
author=PlatinumAshes
If I'm reading the time codes right, you guys hammered IF with a million hours still left on the clock, and he hadn't really said all he wanted to say. Can I point out that was a really bad idea? I'm looking at you Cap_H. I wanted to know why he was so suspicious of these players that he trusted before, but allas...


I am not that pressed about cap not waiting to hammer IF. At that point, IF had already contradicted himself and kinda given up on advocating for himself. As much as I prefer waiting it out, I think hammering IF was justified.

Atm I am hesitant of muffle. I don't know if she is just playing carefully because it's how she plays, or she has little time, or because she is scum who doesn't want attention.

I think demon could also be scum because the switch from him to IF was so quick, but also it's hard to fault anyone who voted against IF. I am pretty conflicted on him. It might be the best to drop it though, if he is not Mordred.

cap, just because I'm curious: What are your reads right now? I'm having problems picking out people I think are really scummy at the moment and you have a more aggressive scumhunting tactic than me so I am very interested in your opinions.
I agree that finding out why scum targeted Ozzy is a good idea so I'm going to look into his posts.
author=oddRABBIT
I just graduated, so congrats for me, I guess. I should have a normal schedule now.

Congrats, buddy!!
Sorry been busy all day just got a break.

First of all congratulations odd.

Unless I am wrong about how the missions work where in as it'd be more helpful to find scum if we put people in different missions, I like LockeZ team idea. I personally would put an obvious (so far) town with two neutral leans to see if we can get a type of lean on the ones we're not sure about but considering we all have different neutral leans...

So I suppose I'll put in my first idea for a team which is one I'm pretty sure is town and two I'm neutral on and curious about. If we get a mission fail one would be scum or a success, scum is playing risky smart or somehow in two different teams we didn't put in scum which is highly unlikely. Unless this is not how missions work;;

#propose ozzy, yellowmagic and oddrabbit

I as of right now believe Ozzy's claim so obvious town in there. If missions work as it does I'm hoping maybe my more neutral leans will be cleared up on the second two. Yellow I have a lean more on scum and odd a lean on town, feeling wise.

But otherwise out of the proposals already stated I prefer LockeZ, unless again I am wrong with how missions work.

Curious to hear caps opinions and I'd like to hear if odd has any opinions once he reads up.

I think on D2 I'm more confused than I was on d1. Some of my reads are completely different orz. I'm starting to think demon might be town and while I feel a bit better about Psy there's still something I can't shake off.

Maybe I find it weird he wants to keep the same team? I don't see the point in this if I am correct on mission mechanics. But there's not entirely anything I can think of why scum would want this to happen. May I ask why you would prefer to keep the same team? Wouldn't sending out the same team give us less information then sending a different one out?

If we send a team that's different everything and a mission fails that means one is definitely scum and we can narrow it down from there. The mission succeeded last night whether because scum is being careful or we had no scum in that team. Being careful on first mission wouldn't be surprising.

As we send teams out eventually a mission will fail and we can work from there, right? Or are you hoping to try and weed out the first team, perhaps if you're certain someone in there is scum you want to send the same team out until scum has to make the decision to fail the mission, that would mean you're definitely sure someone is scum which could mean...

I hope I'm not sputtering nonsense and this makes sense and if I am confused on anything please correct me. I'm going off what I'm pretty sure missions work from what I gathered.

I'll be gone for the rest of the night.
author=psy_wombats
@PA: I reread Ozzy's posts. The only people he ever floated as scum were you, me, IF, and Muffle, and this was all early, and all weakly. But he also made some conjecture about how the game was set up (includes Mordred, includes Assassin) that could seem like privileged info, and I made a huge deal about it. But while I thought it could make him scum, it couldn't make him Merlin as Merlin doesn't get role info -- possible oversight by scum?


This is mostly what I'm getting. :/ I guess the fact that he was speculating so much about the scum makeup could be why he was targeted. If scum just overlooked that, it makes me think maybe scum is made up of some of the more emotional players in the game, like cap or muffle. That's a stretch tho idk I was hoping to find more.

@muffle I don't know that it matters if we keep the same team or not. If we keep getting successes we'll be making headway. I think scum is only going to fail missions later in the game if they are even coming close to the missions.
This is chill with me:

#Accept ozzy, yellow, odd
LockeZ
I'd really like to get rid of LockeZ. His play style is way too unpredictable. He's always like this too. If he ran a country, he'd just kill and imprison people at random until crime stopped.
5958
Psy: Is it okay if I don't explain any more about my team proposal? Because the more I explain what I hope scum will decide to do, the less likely they are to do it. If you think it's a better idea to make as sure as possible that no scum are on the mission, then you can keep voting for your own team.
LockeZ
I'd really like to get rid of LockeZ. His play style is way too unpredictable. He's always like this too. If he ran a country, he'd just kill and imprison people at random until crime stopped.
5958
I will #accept ozzy, yellow, odd since any team that consists of Ozzy and two people who weren't on the team yesterday works just as well IMO. It's a perfectly good bandwagon.
LockeZ
I'd really like to get rid of LockeZ. His play style is way too unpredictable. He's always like this too. If he ran a country, he'd just kill and imprison people at random until crime stopped.
5958
Psy's plan seems to be mostly based around the idea that preventing scum from narrowing down the identity of Merlin is really important. Can't exactly say that's wrong.