FOMAR0153'S PROFILE

author=demonlord5000
Also just to add, if anyone flips scum when killed by the nk then we automatically know they were the miller. If we kill odd here and he's the miller, that could mess up our calculations.

I am still ok with no lynch as the plan but only after everyone has spoken. But if we're not sticking with it then Odd is my vote.

author=oddRABBIT
Personally, I'm against the no lynch plan? But it could be I just don't get it.

How do you not get it? Our doctor could not protect the parity cop because of the strongman. We were maximising the odds of our parity cop getting results.

It's so simple and straight forward and you've played enough mafia that I can only concluse you're scum and trying to take your usual, "I don't know," routine to a new level.

#lynch OddRabbit

Ok I see your point, last game the fact that only Jeroen didn't instantly cancel upon the doctor claim was the reason they guessed he was the doctor.

#nolynch

Jeroen_Scum's_Title
Nothing reveals Humanity so well as the games it plays. A game of betrayal, where the most suspicious person is brutally murdered? How savage.

Also really makes me want to prove him wrong.

Ok so we have 9 town and 2 scum. Assuming town always withhold the kill to maximise the parity cop's chances. The other potential advantage is that scum risk revealing the miller for us.

Ok so here are the odds (night 2 & 3 represent the possibility of them dying on or before that night)

Night	1	2	3
Parity Cop	11%	22%	33%
Death Miller	11%	22%	33%
Both	0%	3%	8%

Not sure I'm prepared to commit to 3 no lynches, though if we get the death miller feedback and potentially if our coroner is alive they can help us re-evaluate the odds on day 3.

The other thing this doesn't account for is learned information. A quick aside there is nothing in the rules that say the parity cop can't self target (and self targetting is one of my favourite party tricks), that would allow the cop to gain the alignment of one other person but sacrifices a piece of information. I don't think this will be useful early on but potentially it could be useful the further in the game we get (saying it in case I get night killed and no one else says/realises it).

Ok back to learned information:
The parity cop gets different (one scum, one town) or same (2 scum or 2 town).
If they get different at any point I'd strongly consider outing themself as we know one of the two is scum. Though if they get that lucky night 1 then maybe hold off one more day and either get a second pair or parity one of the previous two and a third person as it'll create a chain of information. Obviously we can re-assess this every day after seeing the night kill (and maybe coroner infomation).
If they get same results, those are still useful, more so if one gets night killed (which gets increasingly likely as the game goes on). The more pairs we have the more we can work with and the more restricted night kills become for scum.

I'm happy for no lynch today and probably tomorrow. Though we all have to agree to still talk and scum hunt during this time, otherwise scum get a free pass, night kills, possibly the parity cop, etc

Cave, Psy did I miss anything?

author=AlaskanEmily
That's ridiculous and unfounded. And you should also note that I'm not on fire right now.

I mean you could make a song out of that experience.

Burning Lavos
I didn't start the fire
Could have been the masons but they didn't start the fire
I flipped, claim role swap
Rude Cave dog is back set me on fire, blame Chrono

That was poor, I'll go back to expressing mafia via maths and not song.