MAKIOKUTA'S PROFILE

Artist and one of two writers for Team Dragonfly.

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[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

What worries me most is that the only two nights we came close to a sense of unanimously voting for any one person, we've come out wrong and hung a townie. That was the Ratty and Gourd nights. Though the Ratty night had votes all over, Ratty had 4 (5 if you count the null vote, which was crystal nulling herself) and the next highest was piano with 2. So it was pretty unanimous.

The piano night, our only successful lynching, the votes were very split two ways. Maybe we need to look at that night again:
pianotm: 3 Ballots (Joroen, Makio, Kloe, oddRABBIT (nulled by Libbs))
oddRABBIT: 2 Ballots ( piano (NULLED by Maki), Crystal, YM)
Isrieri: 1 Ballot Isrieri
YellowMagic: 2 Ballot (Gourd, Crystal)

YM is the only person still alive who didn't vote for piano that night.

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

Ah right. The night vote. I forgot about that ><

And Kloe, rabbit never agreed to that team. You were the only one who did. Hinging your entire plan on that is pretty dangerous. Especially since I mostly proposed it to see how you, YM, and Jeroen would react.

Factoring in the night vote, lynching two people is too dangerous. That makes 3/5 of those possibilities Mafia wins. Thanks for pointing that out Jeroen.

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

Who are these 'teams' though?

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

Hmhmhhrsmdgsdgs I'm stressed out over a silly game is what xD

How do you form a plan without knowing what everyone else is doing yet? Or even any hint at it. I feel like everyone's still largely up in the air.

Either way, you're saying your plan involves lynching two people? It's all fine and dandy if one happens to be Mafia, but if your great scheme lynches two town... let's see....

Currently there's 5 people left in the game. M - Mafia T - Town
4T 1M - hang 1T 1M = 3T 0M (town wins)
3T 2M - hang 1T 1M = 2T 1M (game continues)
4T 1M - hang 2T 0M = 2T 1M (game continues)
3T 2M - hang 2T 0M = 1T 2M (mafia wins)
3T 2M - hang 2M 0T = 3T 0M (town wins)

Well... that does only end up with one situation mafia wins. Still, feels risky. But I know how you are when you're set on a plan - you're wishy washy and you could already be typing evil laughter over a new plan right now.

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

author=Jeroen_Sol
I don't like the fact that we're suddenly all accepting that there is only one scum left. I brought it up as a possibility, but a possibility is all it is. It's still very much possible that there's two scum left, and if we dismiss that possibility, there's a high probability we'll lose.


Actually, this comment comes directly after it was rather likely to assume that RABBIT, Kloe, and I were discussing teaming up to lynch Jeroen. I was off cleaning the apartment, and overthinking things, but perhaps this was to get us confused looking for another person because we got too close.

hmmmmhrrrrmmmdsgsdf :S

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

author=Maki's brain that just woke up
I think it was established before that oddRABBIT hasn't played here before this game.


That should be "I think it was established before that RABBIT hasn't played this game here before."

You can slap words together in ANY order and they work, right? Right?

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

author=Yellow Magic
Thinking about it, it probably wouldn't make sense, seeing as everyone was likely to lynch Gourd before Kloe went on #TeamMaki.


Mhm. Which is why this move by Kloe still STINKS to me. Because it felt like a setup. The general consensus was already to vote for Gourd that night. Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think I was pressing it any harder than anyone else. Just bringing up facts to prove the point. Then, she turns on me because I wouldn't go back 4 pages in the thread and quote something I said? That whole thing felt ridiculous.

ESPECIALLY paired up with the fact that at the bottom of the previous page she just openly admitted to my idea of teaming up. Either she is RIDICULOUSLY flippant and wishy-washy, or her VERY loud distrust on me from yesterday was all a ruse, and when it didn't pan out the way she wanted (everyone's not on my throat this day phase), she backtracked out of it rather fast.

To the point of being willing to team up with me? That strikes me as rather suspicious.

author=Yellow Magic
Meanwhile, I swear to God if oddRABBIT is a Mafia member I'm going to be super pissed


Me too xD But I still don't think they'd let us get that close to hanging TWO mafia members at once like the Day 2 vote. I really can't think of anything they'd gain from doing that. It feels too risky a move to be a sacrifice one to secure the other's innocence in the minds of the masses.

Anyone who knows piano better; is he a sort of player to make all-or-nothing plays like that? I think it was established before that oddRABBIT hasn't played here before this game.

author=Jeroen_Sol
I don't like the fact that we're suddenly all accepting that there is only one scum left. I brought it up as a possibility, but a possibility is all it is. It's still very much possible that there's two scum left, and if we dismiss that possibility, there's a high probability we'll lose.


I'm not up to accepting ANYTHING at this point. But is there a way to get both in one night? We can't even come to a sound conclusion on ONE person, let alone trying to gun for two.

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

Yes, there is that angle too. Which is an interesting angle to consider. While Jeroen did more deliberately say he thought I am innocent, YM questioned how Kloe thought I wasn't. So they could BOTH benefit from this. Also, the votes support that neither were going online with the whole lynch Maki thing.

Essentially, if the three of us wanted we could team up and try to take one of the two of them out. There's powers to consider though.

Worse case scenario we end up with that before the powers:
Target - 3 votes
Other - 2 votes

Once you stack powers in on that, things start to get really dangerous. Hypothetically we could hang two people tonight. We do not want to accidentally hang 2 town. I we do, we lose.

Risks all around. -/-

[Play Time] Bullet Ballot Mafia

author=Jeroen_Sol
I think the reason why Crystal was killed may have more significance than just a random kill. What if it wasn't that they didn't kill an "experienced" player, but that they couldn't?

If they had killed me instead of CrystalMint, there would be one "experienced" player left, namely Yellow Magic. Then the trend would dictate that Yellow Magic be killed next. If Yellow Magic were scum, he would survive that night and be forced to kill an "inexperienced" player, which would obviously be very bad for him, as people would start wondering why he was still alive. Therefore, it would be prudent not to kill me.

Of course, this logic could just as well be applied to me instead, and it's very likely I'm looking into this too much as well.


Maybe we should discuss this theory more closely.

Who between Yellow Magic and Joroen do you think is a more likely suspect. Personally, I think Yellow Magic between them. If only because Joroen had no reason to defend my innocence yesterday.

What do you two think?

Weird and Unfortunate Things are Happening

idk, I identify with Elothu.